GrowthDx
EP 
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04

The Senior Housing Boom Is Here. Can Supply Keep Up?

The senior housing industry has been talking about the coming wave of baby boomer demand for years. According to Nicole Funari, the industry no longer needs to wait for it.

Occupancy has reached the levels NIC considers an important inflection point, but new construction remains constrained by high development costs, labor pressures, interest rates, and the cost of capital. At the same time, aging properties and renovations that combine smaller units into larger ones are putting additional pressure on available inventory.

In Episode 4 of GrowthDx, Ashley and Nicole explore what happens when strong demographic demand runs directly into difficult development economics, and why solving the senior housing shortage will require looking beyond the real estate itself.

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What’s Covered in this Episode

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The Real Opportunity Goes Beyond the Building

Historically, much of the capital flowing into senior housing has focused on the real estate. But Nicole sees another opportunity emerging: investing in the operators responsible for actually making those communities work.

Operators need capital to grow, modernize, adopt new technologies, acquire communities, and professionalize their businesses. For smaller and midsized operators in particular, that also means learning how to communicate their financial story and demonstrate to investors why their business represents an attractive opportunity.

As Nicole explains, senior housing is also becoming harder to classify as simply a real estate investment with an operating component. Operators are beginning to acquire buildings, while REITs are investing more directly into operations. The two sides of the industry are increasingly converging.

Senior Housing Has an Affordability Problem

Demand alone does not mean everyone who needs senior housing can afford it. Nicole describes one of the industry's biggest challenges as the “forgotten middle”: older adults who earn too much to qualify for subsidized housing but not enough to comfortably afford traditional senior housing.

There are smaller-scale models attempting to address the problem, but Nicole is clear that the industry does not yet have a scalable answer.

“We need a new playbook. We don't have a large-scale solution for this issue yet.”

For investors and operators able to find that model, however, the opportunity could be significant.

Rethinking What Senior Housing Looks Like

The conversation also challenges the assumption that aging in place and senior housing are competing models. Technology can help people remain safely at home longer, but those same tools can support residents inside senior living communities. Meanwhile, senior housing itself is evolving around something technology alone cannot replace: community.

Nicole points to changing expectations around larger living spaces, communal areas, programming, family communication, and greater integration between senior communities and their surrounding neighborhoods. Technology is increasingly supporting both residents and their adult children, from improving communication with caregivers to helping families stay connected to what's happening inside a community.

The result is a senior housing model that may look very different from the one previous generations experienced.

About Our Guest

Nicole Funari is the Senior Principal for Capital Strategies at the National Investment Center for Seniors Housing & Care (NIC), helping the senior housing industry cultivate capital sources.

Nicole is an economist with experience in economic, financial, and regulatory research serving investors, policymakers, and industry leaders. Prior to joining NIC, Nicole served as Vice President of Research at Nareit, where she worked on investor outreach, government relations, and sustainability. Nicole previously worked in public service at the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB) and the Federal Aviation Administration.

About GrowthDx

GrowthDx is Clearstart's healthcare thought leadership podcast, featuring conversations with the people closest to healthcare's biggest shifts. Hosted by Ashley Kent, Founder & CEO of Clearstart, GrowthDx gives healthcare leaders practical perspectives on where the industry is headed and what they need to prepare for what's next.

Get GrowthDx in your inbox.

A monthly dose of healthcare growth insights, including the industry shifts we're watching, what they mean for healthcare leaders, and practical perspectives on marketing, sales and growth.

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